The Role of the Stock Market in Influencing Firm Investment in China

نویسندگان

  • Feng Xiao
  • Robert Pollin
  • Gerald Epstein
  • Victor Brajer
چکیده

This study investigates the impact of China’s stock market on firm-level investment by using a panel data set constructed by the author of all Chinese listed firms for the period of 1992 to 1999 and by applying both fixed effects and generalized method of moments (GMM) techniques. The results show that stock market valuation has a highly significant and positive influence on listed firms’ investment decisions, particularly during the stock market boom from 1996 to 1999. However, based on the present-value model, it is found that stock market valuation in China deviates significantly from underlying fundamentals. As a result, the recent stock market expansion in China is likely to produce an inefficient resource allocation and cause detrimental effects on the real economy.

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تاریخ انتشار 2004